DCF — ERIE COUNTY MEDICAL CENTER
Enterprise Value: $-534.5M
🛡️ Public data only — no PHI permitted on this instance.
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$-534.5M
Enterprise Value
$-178.8M
PV of Cash Flows
$-355.7M
PV of Terminal Value
$-572.9M
Terminal Value
10.0%
WACC
2.5%
Terminal Growth
Cash Flow Projections
PROJ| Year | Revenue | EBITDA | Margin | FCF | PV(FCF) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $622.5M | $-28.0M | -5.0% | $-54.4M | $-49.4M |
| Year 2 | $641.2M | $-22.4M | -4.0% | $-49.6M | $-41.0M |
| Year 3 | $660.4M | $-16.5M | -3.0% | $-44.5M | $-33.4M |
| Year 4 | $680.3M | $-13.6M | -2.0% | $-42.4M | $-29.0M |
| Year 5 | $700.7M | $-12.3M | -2.0% | $-41.9M | $-26.0M |
Interpretation
INTAt a WACC of 10.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%, enterprise value is $-534.5M. Terminal value accounts for 0% of total EV — consider sensitivity to terminal assumptions.
Next steps: Check the LBO model to see equity returns at this entry price, or the EBITDA bridge to model value creation levers.
Assumptions
ASSMrevenue base$604.4M
revenue growth rates[0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03]
ebitda margin base-0.05000000041363715
ebitda margin improvement bps[50, 100, 100, 50, 25]
capex pct revenue0.04
nwc pct revenue0.08
tax rate0.25
projection years5