DCF — ALISO RIDGE BEHAVIORAL HEALTH
Enterprise Value: $-8.6M
🛡️ Public data only — no PHI permitted on this instance.
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$-8.6M
Enterprise Value
$-2.9M
PV of Cash Flows
$-5.7M
PV of Terminal Value
$-9.2M
Terminal Value
10.0%
WACC
2.5%
Terminal Growth
Cash Flow Projections
PROJ| Year | Revenue | EBITDA | Margin | FCF | PV(FCF) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $10.0M | $-0.4M | -5.0% | $-0.9M | $-0.8M |
| Year 2 | $10.3M | $-0.4M | -4.0% | $-0.8M | $-0.7M |
| Year 3 | $10.6M | $-0.3M | -3.0% | $-0.7M | $-0.5M |
| Year 4 | $10.9M | $-0.2M | -2.0% | $-0.7M | $-0.5M |
| Year 5 | $11.2M | $-0.2M | -2.0% | $-0.7M | $-0.4M |
Interpretation
INTAt a WACC of 10.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%, enterprise value is $-8.6M. Terminal value accounts for 0% of total EV — consider sensitivity to terminal assumptions.
Next steps: Check the LBO model to see equity returns at this entry price, or the EBITDA bridge to model value creation levers.
Assumptions
ASSMrevenue base$9.7M
revenue growth rates[0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03]
ebitda margin base-0.05000004641198725
ebitda margin improvement bps[50, 100, 100, 50, 25]
capex pct revenue0.04
nwc pct revenue0.08
tax rate0.25
projection years5