Stress Grid · ST. LUKES HOSPITAL — SeekingChartis Corpus

🛡️ Public data only — no PHI permitted on this instance.

About this page

Runs a grid of rate, volume, multiple-compression, lever-slip, and labor-shock scenarios against this deal and scores the deal's robustness across the grid.

Scale

Robustness grade: A = ≥ 90% downside pass rate and zero covenant breaches; B = ≥ 80% pass rate and ≤ 1 breach; C = ≥ 60% pass rate; D = ≥ 40%; F = below 40%.

How to use

Use downside pass rate + breach count to size covenant headroom and stress reserves. A grade-D deal needs more cushion in the capital structure or should not proceed at this leverage.

Source: pe_intelligence/stress_test.py::_robustness_grade (grade thresholds); run_stress_grid (scenario set).

← DEAL DASHBOARD·PARTNER REVIEW →·RED FLAGS →·ARCHETYPE →·INVESTABILITY →·MARKET STRUCTURE →·WHITE SPACE →·STRESS GRID·IC PACKET →·WORKBENCH →

ROBUSTNESS GRADEF0% downside pass-rate · 0 covenant breaches

Deal fails under most downside scenarios — do not bring to IC as modeled.

Robustness

grade A-F

Downside Pass

of scenarios

Upside Capture

of scenarios

Covenant Breaches

across grid

Worst Case

—

EBITDA delta

Best Case

—

EBITDA delta

SCENARIO GRIDdownside + upside + baseline sweep11

Downside scenarios (10)DOW

Scenario	Severity	EBITDA Δ	Passes	Covenant	Partner Note
rate down 100bps	DOWNSIDE	—	FAIL	—	EBITDA goes negative under this shock. Deal is not viable.
rate down 200bps	DOWNSIDE	—	FAIL	—	EBITDA goes negative under this shock. Deal is not viable.
rate down 300bps	DOWNSIDE	—	FAIL	—	EBITDA goes negative under this shock. Deal is not viable.
volume down 5pct	DOWNSIDE	—	FAIL	—	Volume shock breaks the covenant. Tighten the operating plan or reduce leverage.
volume down 10pct	DOWNSIDE	—	FAIL	—	Volume shock breaks the covenant. Tighten the operating plan or reduce leverage.
multiple compression flat	DOWNSIDE	—	—	—	Cannot run — multiples, EBITDA, or base MOIC missing.
lever slip 60pct	DOWNSIDE	—	FAIL	—	Reduced lever realization leaves exit EBITDA at or below entry. Thesis is fragile.
lever slip 40pct	DOWNSIDE	—	FAIL	—	Reduced lever realization leaves exit EBITDA at or below entry. Thesis is fragile.
labor shock 10pct	DOWNSIDE	—	FAIL	—	Labor shock tips the deal — reduce agency dependency or re-size debt.
labor shock 20pct	DOWNSIDE	—	FAIL	—	Labor shock tips the deal — reduce agency dependency or re-size debt.

Upside scenarios (1)UPS

Scenario	Severity	EBITDA Δ	Passes	Covenant	Partner Note
lever full realization	UPSIDE	—	FAIL	—	Reduced lever realization leaves exit EBITDA at or below entry. Thesis is fragile.

Baseline scenariosBAS

No scenarios in this severity.

Regulatory scenariosREG

No scenarios in this severity.