DCF — TUG VALLEY ARH
Enterprise Value: $-41.0M
🛡️ Public data only — no PHI permitted on this instance.
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$-41.0M
Enterprise Value
$-13.7M
PV of Cash Flows
$-27.3M
PV of Terminal Value
$-43.9M
Terminal Value
10.0%
WACC
2.5%
Terminal Growth
Cash Flow Projections
PROJ| Year | Revenue | EBITDA | Margin | FCF | PV(FCF) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $47.7M | $-2.1M | -4.0% | $-4.2M | $-3.8M |
| Year 2 | $49.2M | $-1.7M | -3.0% | $-3.8M | $-3.1M |
| Year 3 | $50.6M | $-1.3M | -2.0% | $-3.4M | $-2.6M |
| Year 4 | $52.1M | $-1.0M | -2.0% | $-3.3M | $-2.2M |
| Year 5 | $53.7M | $-0.9M | -2.0% | $-3.2M | $-2.0M |
Interpretation
INTAt a WACC of 10.0% and terminal growth of 2.5%, enterprise value is $-41.0M. Terminal value accounts for 0% of total EV — consider sensitivity to terminal assumptions.
Next steps: Check the LBO model to see equity returns at this entry price, or the EBITDA bridge to model value creation levers.
Assumptions
ASSMrevenue base$46.3M
revenue growth rates[0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03]
ebitda margin base-0.04999999676266606
ebitda margin improvement bps[50, 100, 100, 50, 25]
capex pct revenue0.04
nwc pct revenue0.08
tax rate0.25
projection years5