Statistical Profile — FORSYTH MEMORIAL HOSPITAL INC
CCN 340014 | FORSYTH, NC | 4 outlier flags
🛡️ Public data only — no PHI permitted on this instance.
906
Beds
$1.36B
Net Revenue
-7.1%
Op Margin
66.4%
Occupancy
4
Outlier Flags
Statistical Outliers (4)
Metrics where this hospital is >2 standard deviations from the national mean. Investigate in diligence — could signal operational issues or data quality problems.
- Beds: +4.2σ above national mean
- Net Patient Revenue: +2.4σ above national mean
- Operating Expenses: +2.5σ above national mean
- Total Patient Days: +3.7σ above national mean
Statistical Profile — All Variables
Each metric compared to national (n=6,123) and NC (n=129) peers. Z-score shows standard deviations from national mean.
| Metric | Hospital | Nat'l Median | NC Median | Z-Score | Nat'l %ile | State %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beds | 906 | 63 | 100 | +4.23σ | P99 ▲ | P97 ▲ |
| Net Patient Revenue | $1.36B | $59.7M | $103.3M | +2.44σ | P97 ▲ | P94 ▲ |
| Operating Expenses | $1.46B | $62.7M | $102.7M | +2.53σ | P97 ▲ | P95 ▲ |
| Net Income | $-96.1M | $-2.1M | $-1.9M | -0.58σ | P5 ▼ | P5 ▼ |
| Gross Patient Revenue | $4.36B | $186.6M | $385.8M | +1.82σ | P96 ▲ | P93 ▲ |
| Total Patient Days | 219,580 | 12,073 | 18,992 | +3.65σ | P98 ▲ | P95 ▲ |
| Medicare Day % | 19.8% | 30.9% | 27.3% | -0.71σ | P23 | P24 |
| Medicaid Day % | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | -0.33σ | P51 | P51 |
| Operating Margin | -7.1% | -4.8% | -2.0% | -0.03σ | P44 | P31 |
| Revenue per Bed | $1.5M | $1.2M | $1.4M | +0.01σ | P62 | P55 |
| Occupancy Rate | 66.4% | 53.7% | 58.8% | +0.57σ | P67 | P59 |
| Commercial Payer % | 74.9% | 61.2% | 67.0% | +0.77σ | P80 | P78 |
| Net-to-Gross Ratio | 31.1% | 33.3% | 29.5% | -0.35σ | P45 | P58 |
| Expense per Bed | $1.6M | $1.2M | $1.4M | +0.02σ | P64 | P63 |
| Revenue per Patient Day | 6,191 | 7,054 | 6,521 | -0.05σ | P42 | P47 |
| Payer Diversity Index | 0.396 | 0.473 | 0.466 | -0.28σ | P26 | P21 |
Multi-Variable Regression Residuals
For each key metric, the national regression model predicts a value. The residual shows how much this hospital over/under-performs after controlling for all other variables.
| Target | Model R² | Actual | Predicted | Residual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Patient Revenue | 74.0% | $1.36B | $1.64B | -1.10σ |
| Operating Margin | 2.1% | -0.0707 | -0.0574 | -0.07σ |
| Occupancy Rate | 44.3% | 0.6640 | 0.5958 | +0.37σ |
| Revenue Per Bed | 2.6% | $1.5M | $1.3M | +0.11σ |
| Net To Gross Ratio | 22.4% | 0.3115 | 0.1516 | +0.92σ |