Counterfactual — SOUTHEAST HEALTH MEDICAL CENTER
Initiative impact: $-2.8M cumulative
🛡️ Public data only — no PHI permitted on this instance.
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$-2.8M
Cumulative Initiative Impact
6
Periods Analyzed
Actual vs Counterfactual
"What would EBITDA be if we hadn't done this initiative?"
| Period | Actual | Counterfactual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Period 1 | $-18.8M | $-18.8M | $0.0M |
| Period 2 | $-19.2M | $-19.0M | $-0.2M |
| Period 3 | $-19.6M | $-19.2M | $-0.4M |
| Period 4 | $-20.0M | $-19.4M | $-0.6M |
| Period 5 | $-20.3M | $-19.6M | $-0.8M |
| Period 6 | $-20.7M | $-19.8M | $-0.9M |
What This Means
Without the initiative, EBITDA would have been $2.8M higher over the period. The initiative did not deliver expected results.
Methodology: Pre-post with ramp curve adjustment. See causal inference for statistical significance.