Demand Analysis — MOUNT AUBURN HOSPITAL
MIDDLESEX, MA | Density: 39 | Stickiness: 13 | Elasticity: -0.30
🛡️ Public data only — no PHI permitted on this instance.
39/100
Disease Density Index
13/100
Demand Stickiness
-0.30
Price Elasticity (Moderate)
-2
Tailwind Score
County Disease Prevalence — MIDDLESEX, MA
Medicare chronic condition rates in this hospital's county vs national average. Higher prevalence = more inpatient demand. Acuity weight reflects revenue intensity.
| Condition | County % | National % | Delta | Acuity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ischemic Heart Disease | 25.2% | 27.1% | -1.9pp | 2.5x |
| Chronic Kidney Disease | 23.6% | 25.4% | -1.8pp | 2.5x |
| Hypertension | 54.1% | 58.2% | -4.1pp | 1.0x |
| Heart Failure | 13.2% | 14.2% | -1.0pp | 3.0x |
| Diabetes | 25.9% | 27.8% | -1.9pp | 1.5x |
| Hyperlipidemia | 45.8% | 49.3% | -3.5pp | 0.8x |
| Cancer | 8.1% | 8.7% | -0.6pp | 3.0x |
| COPD | 10.6% | 11.4% | -0.8pp | 2.0x |
| Alzheimer's/Dementia | 10.4% | 11.2% | -0.8pp | 2.0x |
| Depression | 18.4% | 19.8% | -1.4pp | 1.0x |
| Atrial Fibrillation | 8.5% | 9.1% | -0.6pp | 2.0x |
| Stroke | 3.8% | 4.1% | -0.3pp | 2.5x |
Demand Stickiness Breakdown
12 competitor hospitals in the market area.
Condition Chronicity0/33
Geographic Monopoly0/33
Switching Cost13/34
Demand Tailwinds & Headwinds
Hypertension▼ -4.1pp (headwind)
Hyperlipidemia▼ -3.5pp (headwind)
Diabetes▶ -1.9pp (neutral)
Ischemic Heart Disease▶ -1.9pp (neutral)
Chronic Kidney Disease▶ -1.8pp (neutral)
Depression▶ -1.4pp (neutral)
What This Means for Diligence
Disease density index of 39/100 in MIDDLESEX, MA. Lower disease burden — demand may be more elective.
Stickiness score of 13/100. Patients have alternatives — competitive pressure on pricing.
Price elasticity of -0.30. Moderately inelastic.
Tailwind score of -2. Neutral demand outlook.