Demand Analysis — COTTAGE HOSPITAL
GRAFTON, NH | Density: 38 | Stickiness: 36 | Elasticity: -0.30
🛡️ Public data only — no PHI permitted on this instance.
38/100
Disease Density Index
36/100
Demand Stickiness
-0.30
Price Elasticity (Moderate)
-7
Tailwind Score
County Disease Prevalence — GRAFTON, NH
Medicare chronic condition rates in this hospital's county vs national average. Higher prevalence = more inpatient demand. Acuity weight reflects revenue intensity.
| Condition | County % | National % | Delta | Acuity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ischemic Heart Disease | 24.7% | 27.1% | -2.4pp | 2.5x |
| Chronic Kidney Disease | 23.1% | 25.4% | -2.3pp | 2.5x |
| Hypertension | 53.0% | 58.2% | -5.2pp | 1.0x |
| Heart Failure | 12.9% | 14.2% | -1.3pp | 3.0x |
| Diabetes | 25.3% | 27.8% | -2.5pp | 1.5x |
| Hyperlipidemia | 44.9% | 49.3% | -4.4pp | 0.8x |
| Cancer | 7.9% | 8.7% | -0.8pp | 3.0x |
| COPD | 10.4% | 11.4% | -1.0pp | 2.0x |
| Alzheimer's/Dementia | 10.2% | 11.2% | -1.0pp | 2.0x |
| Depression | 18.0% | 19.8% | -1.8pp | 1.0x |
| Atrial Fibrillation | 8.3% | 9.1% | -0.8pp | 2.0x |
| Stroke | 3.7% | 4.1% | -0.4pp | 2.5x |
Demand Stickiness Breakdown
3 competitor hospitals in the market area.
Condition Chronicity0/33
Geographic Monopoly23/33
Switching Cost13/34
Demand Tailwinds & Headwinds
Ischemic Heart Disease▼ -2.4pp (headwind)
Chronic Kidney Disease▼ -2.3pp (headwind)
Hypertension▼ -5.2pp (headwind)
Hyperlipidemia▼ -4.4pp (headwind)
Diabetes▼ -2.5pp (headwind)
Depression▶ -1.8pp (neutral)
What This Means for Diligence
Disease density index of 38/100 in GRAFTON, NH. Lower disease burden — demand may be more elective.
Stickiness score of 36/100. Patients have alternatives — competitive pressure on pricing.
Price elasticity of -0.30. Moderately inelastic.
Tailwind score of -7. Neutral demand outlook.