Demand Analysis — FREEMAN OAK HILL HEALTH SYSTEM
NEWTON, MO | Density: 44 | Stickiness: 15 | Elasticity: -0.30
🛡️ Public data only — no PHI permitted on this instance.
44/100
Disease Density Index
15/100
Demand Stickiness
-0.30
Price Elasticity (Moderate)
+2
Tailwind Score
County Disease Prevalence — NEWTON, MO
Medicare chronic condition rates in this hospital's county vs national average. Higher prevalence = more inpatient demand. Acuity weight reflects revenue intensity.
| Condition | County % | National % | Delta | Acuity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ischemic Heart Disease | 28.5% | 27.1% | +1.4pp | 2.5x |
| Chronic Kidney Disease | 26.7% | 25.4% | +1.3pp | 2.5x |
| Hypertension | 61.1% | 58.2% | +2.9pp | 1.0x |
| Heart Failure | 14.9% | 14.2% | +0.7pp | 3.0x |
| Diabetes | 29.2% | 27.8% | +1.4pp | 1.5x |
| Hyperlipidemia | 51.8% | 49.3% | +2.5pp | 0.8x |
| Cancer | 9.1% | 8.7% | +0.4pp | 3.0x |
| COPD | 12.0% | 11.4% | +0.6pp | 2.0x |
| Alzheimer's/Dementia | 11.8% | 11.2% | +0.6pp | 2.0x |
| Depression | 20.8% | 19.8% | +1.0pp | 1.0x |
| Atrial Fibrillation | 9.6% | 9.1% | +0.5pp | 2.0x |
| Stroke | 4.3% | 4.1% | +0.2pp | 2.5x |
Demand Stickiness Breakdown
20 competitor hospitals in the market area.
Condition Chronicity0/33
Geographic Monopoly0/33
Switching Cost15/34
Demand Tailwinds & Headwinds
Hypertension▲ +2.9pp (tailwind)
Hyperlipidemia▲ +2.5pp (tailwind)
Diabetes▶ +1.4pp (neutral)
Ischemic Heart Disease▶ +1.4pp (neutral)
Chronic Kidney Disease▶ +1.3pp (neutral)
What This Means for Diligence
Disease density index of 44/100 in NEWTON, MO. Lower disease burden — demand may be more elective.
Stickiness score of 15/100. Patients have alternatives — competitive pressure on pricing.
Price elasticity of -0.30. Moderately inelastic.
Tailwind score of +2. Mild tailwind.