Demand Analysis — MCHS - SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA REGION
BLUE EARTH, MN | Density: 38 | Stickiness: 13 | Elasticity: -0.30
🛡️ Public data only — no PHI permitted on this instance.
38/100
Disease Density Index
13/100
Demand Stickiness
-0.30
Price Elasticity (Moderate)
-8
Tailwind Score
County Disease Prevalence — BLUE EARTH, MN
Medicare chronic condition rates in this hospital's county vs national average. Higher prevalence = more inpatient demand. Acuity weight reflects revenue intensity.
| Condition | County % | National % | Delta | Acuity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ischemic Heart Disease | 24.4% | 27.1% | -2.7pp | 2.5x |
| Chronic Kidney Disease | 22.9% | 25.4% | -2.5pp | 2.5x |
| Hypertension | 52.4% | 58.2% | -5.8pp | 1.0x |
| Heart Failure | 12.8% | 14.2% | -1.4pp | 3.0x |
| Diabetes | 25.0% | 27.8% | -2.8pp | 1.5x |
| Hyperlipidemia | 44.4% | 49.3% | -4.9pp | 0.8x |
| Cancer | 7.8% | 8.7% | -0.9pp | 3.0x |
| COPD | 10.3% | 11.4% | -1.1pp | 2.0x |
| Alzheimer's/Dementia | 10.1% | 11.2% | -1.1pp | 2.0x |
| Depression | 17.8% | 19.8% | -2.0pp | 1.0x |
| Atrial Fibrillation | 8.2% | 9.1% | -0.9pp | 2.0x |
| Stroke | 3.7% | 4.1% | -0.4pp | 2.5x |
Demand Stickiness Breakdown
20 competitor hospitals in the market area.
Condition Chronicity0/33
Geographic Monopoly0/33
Switching Cost13/34
Demand Tailwinds & Headwinds
Ischemic Heart Disease▼ -2.7pp (headwind)
Chronic Kidney Disease▼ -2.5pp (headwind)
Hypertension▼ -5.8pp (headwind)
Diabetes▼ -2.8pp (headwind)
Hyperlipidemia▼ -4.9pp (headwind)
Depression▶ -2.0pp (neutral)
What This Means for Diligence
Disease density index of 38/100 in BLUE EARTH, MN. Lower disease burden — demand may be more elective.
Stickiness score of 13/100. Patients have alternatives — competitive pressure on pricing.
Price elasticity of -0.30. Moderately inelastic.
Tailwind score of -8. Neutral demand outlook.