Demand Analysis — BAPTIST HEALTH LAGRANGE
OLDHAM, KY | Density: 48 | Stickiness: 16 | Elasticity: -0.30
🛡️ Public data only — no PHI permitted on this instance.
48/100
Disease Density Index
16/100
Demand Stickiness
-0.30
Price Elasticity (Moderate)
+15
Tailwind Score
County Disease Prevalence — OLDHAM, KY
Medicare chronic condition rates in this hospital's county vs national average. Higher prevalence = more inpatient demand. Acuity weight reflects revenue intensity.
| Condition | County % | National % | Delta | Acuity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ischemic Heart Disease | 31.2% | 27.1% | +4.1pp | 2.5x |
| Chronic Kidney Disease | 29.2% | 25.4% | +3.8pp | 2.5x |
| Hypertension | 66.9% | 58.2% | +8.7pp | 1.0x |
| Heart Failure | 16.3% | 14.2% | +2.1pp | 3.0x |
| Diabetes | 32.0% | 27.8% | +4.2pp | 1.5x |
| Hyperlipidemia | 56.7% | 49.3% | +7.4pp | 0.8x |
| Cancer | 10.0% | 8.7% | +1.3pp | 3.0x |
| COPD | 13.1% | 11.4% | +1.7pp | 2.0x |
| Alzheimer's/Dementia | 12.9% | 11.2% | +1.7pp | 2.0x |
| Depression | 22.8% | 19.8% | +3.0pp | 1.0x |
| Atrial Fibrillation | 10.5% | 9.1% | +1.4pp | 2.0x |
| Stroke | 4.7% | 4.1% | +0.6pp | 2.5x |
Demand Stickiness Breakdown
20 competitor hospitals in the market area.
Condition Chronicity0/33
Geographic Monopoly0/33
Switching Cost16/34
Demand Tailwinds & Headwinds
Ischemic Heart Disease▲ +4.1pp (tailwind)
Chronic Kidney Disease▲ +3.8pp (tailwind)
Hypertension▲ +8.7pp (tailwind)
Diabetes▲ +4.2pp (tailwind)
Heart Failure▲ +2.1pp (tailwind)
Hyperlipidemia▲ +7.4pp (tailwind)
What This Means for Diligence
Disease density index of 48/100 in OLDHAM, KY. Moderate disease burden.
Stickiness score of 16/100. Patients have alternatives — competitive pressure on pricing.
Price elasticity of -0.30. Moderately inelastic.
Tailwind score of +15. Mild tailwind.