Demand Analysis — CENTURA LONGMONT UNITED HOSPITAL
BOULDER, CO | Density: 37 | Stickiness: 32 | Elasticity: -0.30
🛡️ Public data only — no PHI permitted on this instance.
37/100
Disease Density Index
32/100
Demand Stickiness
-0.30
Price Elasticity (Moderate)
-10
Tailwind Score
County Disease Prevalence — BOULDER, CO
Medicare chronic condition rates in this hospital's county vs national average. Higher prevalence = more inpatient demand. Acuity weight reflects revenue intensity.
| Condition | County % | National % | Delta | Acuity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ischemic Heart Disease | 23.8% | 27.1% | -3.3pp | 2.5x |
| Chronic Kidney Disease | 22.4% | 25.4% | -3.0pp | 2.5x |
| Hypertension | 51.2% | 58.2% | -7.0pp | 1.0x |
| Heart Failure | 12.5% | 14.2% | -1.7pp | 3.0x |
| Diabetes | 24.5% | 27.8% | -3.3pp | 1.5x |
| Hyperlipidemia | 43.4% | 49.3% | -5.9pp | 0.8x |
| Cancer | 7.7% | 8.7% | -1.0pp | 3.0x |
| COPD | 10.0% | 11.4% | -1.4pp | 2.0x |
| Alzheimer's/Dementia | 9.9% | 11.2% | -1.3pp | 2.0x |
| Depression | 17.4% | 19.8% | -2.4pp | 1.0x |
| Atrial Fibrillation | 8.0% | 9.1% | -1.1pp | 2.0x |
| Stroke | 3.6% | 4.1% | -0.5pp | 2.5x |
Demand Stickiness Breakdown
4 competitor hospitals in the market area.
Condition Chronicity0/33
Geographic Monopoly20/33
Switching Cost12/34
Demand Tailwinds & Headwinds
Ischemic Heart Disease▼ -3.3pp (headwind)
Chronic Kidney Disease▼ -3.0pp (headwind)
Hypertension▼ -7.0pp (headwind)
Diabetes▼ -3.3pp (headwind)
Hyperlipidemia▼ -5.9pp (headwind)
Depression▼ -2.4pp (headwind)
What This Means for Diligence
Disease density index of 37/100 in BOULDER, CO. Lower disease burden — demand may be more elective.
Stickiness score of 32/100. Patients have alternatives — competitive pressure on pricing.
Price elasticity of -0.30. Moderately inelastic.
Tailwind score of -10. Headwind — shrinking demand in this market.