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HOSP

ANTELOPE VALLEY HOSPITAL

CCN 050056|LOC LANCASTER, CA|BEDS 393|NPR $496.9M|MARGIN -2.0%

SeekingChartis Score

INVESTMENT THESIS

Selective: ANTELOPE VALLEY HOSPITAL

/ 100 (C)

+$36.6M

EBITDA Uplift

+736bps

Margin Δ

0.0%

Op Margin

$496.9M

Revenue

—

Realization

—

Peer Rank

SIGNAL STRENGTH

Margin

0.0%

Safety

53%

CATALYSTS

▲RCM uplift of $36.6M (+736bps)

▲Platform-sized facility

RISKS

▼Elevated distress risk (47%)

Hold / Selective — investigate specific opportunities but be prepared for execution risk.

Peer Analysis EBITDA Bridge Data Room IC Memo ML Detail

$496.9M

Net Patient Revenue

-2.0%

Operating Margin

$-10.2M

Net Income

393

Licensed Beds

$1,264K

Revenue per Bed

$507.0M

Operating Expenses

Payer Mix

PYR

■ MEDICARE · 16%■ MEDICAID · 11%■ COMMERCIAL · 73%

Score Breakdown

SCComposite · 47/100

Component	Score	Max	%
Market Position	25	35	72%
Financial Health	7	25	30%
Operational Quality	0	20	0%
Competitive Moat	5	20	26%

Comparable Hospitals

CMP

CCN	Hospital	Beds	NPR
050002	ST ROSE HOSPITAL	153	$0M
050006	ST. JOSEPH HOSPITAL - EUREKA	132	$0M
050007	MILLS PENINSULA MEDICAL CENTER	241	$0M
050008	CPMC-R.K. DAVIES MEDICAL CENTER	105	$0M
050009	QUEEN OF THE VALLEY MEDICAL CENTER	119	$0M

Team Notes

NOTE0 entries

Actions

ACT

WFDiligence Workflow

Competitive Intel EBITDA Bridge Data Room IC Memo Scenarios

AIDeep Analysis

ML Analysis Demand 3-Year History Stats Bayesian

FINFinancial Models

DCF LBO 3-Statement Returns Market Denial

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