Demand Analysis — BRYCE HOSPITAL
TUSCALOOSA, AL | Density: 50 | Stickiness: 40 | Elasticity: -0.30
🛡️ Public data only — no PHI permitted on this instance.
50/100
Disease Density Index
40/100
Demand Stickiness
-0.30
Price Elasticity (Moderate)
+23
Tailwind Score
County Disease Prevalence — TUSCALOOSA, AL
Medicare chronic condition rates in this hospital's county vs national average. Higher prevalence = more inpatient demand. Acuity weight reflects revenue intensity.
| Condition | County % | National % | Delta | Acuity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ischemic Heart Disease | 32.5% | 27.1% | +5.4pp | 2.5x |
| Chronic Kidney Disease | 30.5% | 25.4% | +5.1pp | 2.5x |
| Hypertension | 69.8% | 58.2% | +11.6pp | 1.0x |
| Heart Failure | 17.0% | 14.2% | +2.8pp | 3.0x |
| Diabetes | 33.4% | 27.8% | +5.6pp | 1.5x |
| Hyperlipidemia | 59.2% | 49.3% | +9.9pp | 0.8x |
| Cancer | 10.4% | 8.7% | +1.7pp | 3.0x |
| COPD | 13.7% | 11.4% | +2.3pp | 2.0x |
| Alzheimer's/Dementia | 13.4% | 11.2% | +2.2pp | 2.0x |
| Depression | 23.8% | 19.8% | +4.0pp | 1.0x |
| Atrial Fibrillation | 10.9% | 9.1% | +1.8pp | 2.0x |
| Stroke | 4.9% | 4.1% | +0.8pp | 2.5x |
Demand Stickiness Breakdown
3 competitor hospitals in the market area.
Condition Chronicity0/33
Geographic Monopoly23/33
Switching Cost17/34
Demand Tailwinds & Headwinds
Ischemic Heart Disease▲ +5.4pp (tailwind)
Chronic Kidney Disease▲ +5.1pp (tailwind)
Hypertension▲ +11.6pp (tailwind)
Diabetes▲ +5.6pp (tailwind)
Heart Failure▲ +2.8pp (tailwind)
Hyperlipidemia▲ +9.9pp (tailwind)
What This Means for Diligence
Disease density index of 50/100 in TUSCALOOSA, AL. Moderate disease burden.
Stickiness score of 40/100. Patients have alternatives — competitive pressure on pricing.
Price elasticity of -0.30. Moderately inelastic.
Tailwind score of +23. Strong demand tailwind from growing chronic disease burden.